Sunday, March 09, 2008

Fantasy Baseball 2008

Oh yeah, it's that time of the year. Of all fantasy sports, baseball is without a doubt the best. I have had a mostly straightforward formula I have used over the years to rank players. This year's results top 30 (I did top 30 so I could squeeze in Tim Lincecum):

  1. Johan Santana 9.997069335

  2. Chase Utley 9.395566713

  3. Matt Holliday 9.28777674

  4. Alex Rodriguez 8.06973671

  5. Albert Pujols 7.362279704

  6. Jake Peavy 6.687233845

  7. Vladimir Guerrero 5.979646533

  8. Victor Martinez 5.724916421

  9. David Ortiz 5.661505849

  10. Ryan Howard 5.650694866

  11. Alfonso Soriano 5.226027058

  12. Carlos Lee 5.114022165

  13. Jonathan Papelbon 5.06406981

  14. Grady Sizemore 5.012756748

  15. Lance Berkman 4.721401161

  16. Hanley Ramirez 4.707462255

  17. Miguel Cabrera 4.202140221

  18. Jimmy Rollins 4.069476267

  19. J.J. Putz 4.013553495

  20. David Wright 4.007944434

  21. Joe Nathan 3.984203692

  22. Adam Dunn 3.907455051

  23. Mariano Rivera 3.793661698

  24. Prince Fielder 3.7901273

  25. C.C. Sabathia 3.749804343

  26. Russell Martin 3.703008847

  27. Carlos Beltran 3.629816436

  28. Ryan Braun 3.556328479

  29. Tim Lincecum 3.377436453

  30. Robinson Cano 3.376123846


The big weakness is always my source of projections. I prefer to be somewhat random about this. Sometimes I tweak based on personal bias. This year I did not. The numbers don't mean too much, unless you are in an auction league. In that case, a rating of 0 corresponds to the average price of a starting (non-bench) player. An increase of 1 point corresponds roughly to a 40% premium. So if rating(Player x) - rating(Player y) = 1.0, then $(Player X)/$(Player Y) = 1.4.

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